Environmental Protection and MIT News report on a paper by Mort Webster from MIT in the most recent issue of Decision Analysis that applies decision analysis tools to climate change policies. Policy changes are typically sequential, path-dependent, and slow to change. EP online reports that
Applying decision analysis in the context of idealized government decision makers over a century raises the question of how to deal with the fact that political systems tend to exhibit “path dependency,” a force that makes large policy shifts difficult and rare, and limits most decisions to small incremental changes.
In his paper, [Webster] argues that consideration of path dependence in the context of climate policy justifies greater near-term emissions reductions in what amounts to a hedging strategy.
March 18th, 2009 at 2:21 am
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