The second volume of Analytics is available online. I was fascinated by the article “The 13 Keys to the White House” by Doug Samuelson. This article summarizes quantitative historian Allan Lichtman’s (very accurate) method for predicting who will win the presidential election. His method is based on 13 yes-no question (the “keys”). If eight or more of the questions favor the incumbent party, then the incumbent party retains the presidency. Otherwise, the other party wins. Lichtman argues that the long campaign between Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton is not likely to effect the election in November. The verdict? Barack Obama is likely to win.
July 15, 2008
predicting the presidency
By Laura Albert
This entry was posted on Tuesday, July 15th, 2008 at 5:53 pm and posted in Uncategorized. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed.
Search Punk Rock OR:
Punk Rock OR Tweets
- RT @wjcook: Beautiful article by @JohnCUrschel in this month's Notices of the American Mathematical Society: "I Am a Black Mathematician".… 4 hours ago
- I watched Groundhog Day with my family. It’s held up well, it’s totally relevant today, and my kids have never laug… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… 15 hours ago
- The @USPS survived the election and bad policy changes but was crushed by the holiday. An analysis on on-time deliv… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… 1 day ago
- Way to go, Robert! 👏👏👏 twitter.com/fordschool/sta… 1 day ago
- I was lucky to see a thought provoking presentation by @BierVicki on game theory & homeland security at my first… twitter.com/i/web/status/1… 1 day ago
- On cheese and industrial engineering 🧀 punkrockor.com/2014/01/21/on-… #CheeseLoversDay #cheese #isye #punkrockor 1 day ago
Recent Comments
Tags
academia analytics art aviation blogs cheese computing conferences cooking coupons criminal justice data decision analysis disasters education elections emergencies environmentalism & natural living finance football analytics grand challenges health healthcare higher education holidays home homeland security humanitarian invited talks lightning lottery march madness math programming mip MODA newspapers Olympics optimization OR in the news pandemic PhD phd support pirates podcast and video Poisson politics probability public policy publishing queuing risk communication sabbatical science communication science fair secretary problem slidecasts social justice social networking sports star wars stochastic processes supply chains teaching teaching with technology traffic Transportation TSP twitter vampires weather werewolves women work-life balance writing zombies
Leave a Reply