final Presidential election forecast predictions

The Presidential election forecasting models I’ve been following this election cycle are all pointing toward a Clinton victory. Now we have to wait and see.

~

Election Analytics @ Illinois

Princeton Election Consortium (Sam Wang)

FiveThirtyEight (Nate Silver)

New York Times Upshot forecast

Daily Kos (Drew Linzer)

David Rothschild’s prediction market forecasting model

Huffington Post Election Forecast

Sabato’s Crystal Ball

13 Keys to the White House

Why don’t all of these models agree? A few articles I’ve read lately about forecasting models and polling:

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